A Spain very polarized in the y-axis of the left (PSOE and UP) and right (PP and Vox, along with Cs) receives the first coalition Government since 1939. 46.4% of the spaniards greet the Executive, compared to 42,4%, which gives a negative opinion, according to a survey of 40dB. for THE COUNTRY made after the investiture of Pedro Sanchez. Citizens are deeply divided in function of their affinity-partisan, with endorsements (to the left) and sentences (to the right) above 77% in all cases. A clear majority believes that it will be a Government brief and divided, although some of the main measures included in the agreements that it has closed on Sanchez to be invested are provided with a comprehensive support, according to the poll.
Valuation of the government
How do you value the new coalition government between the PSOE and United we Can?
Very positive
13,5%
Very poor
27,1%
NS/NC
11,2%
Positively
32,9%
Negatively
15.3 per cent
Among the voters of…
PSOE
PP
Vox
UP
Cs
Very positive
Positively
Negatively
Very poor
28,3
51,3
5,6
8,4
4,4
10,5
15,7
64,3
1,4
4,9
22,6
70,3
44,8
52,6
1,7
–
0,7
10,8
34,4
43,4
The difference up to 100 is the data of NS/NC
Source: 40dB.
THE COUNTRY
Pedro Sánchez communicates this Sunday to formally Felipe VI, the composition of an Executive of marked economic nature and whose 23 names have been learning by drip over the past few days. The Government, which on Tuesday will hold its first Council of Ministers, will have to manage the major challenges ahead for the country. And do it with a formula which is unprecedented in the current Spain’s democratic —a Cabinet of coalition— and with a most meagre —the partners totaling 155 of the 350 deputies— in a Congress is very fragmented.
After a long political blockage and eight months of Government functions, the spaniards valued the formation of the Executive, but only four points above those who reject (46,4% vs. 42%). To segregate this same question by electorates shows the very wide division between left and right. Almost all (97.4%) of the voters of the United we Can commends the coalition, and that percentage rises to 79.6 in% between the electorate socialist. In front, the aversion to the Cabinet progressive is almost unanimous (92,9%) among those who vote to Vox, assisted by more than three out of every four voters of the PP (80%) and Citizens (77,8%).
The survey, prepared on a basis of a thousand interviews, was conducted on Wednesday and Thursday, just after the investiture of Sanchez by the minimum in the Congress -167 yes’s compared to 165 nays and 18 abstentions— in a bronco full. In those days came his inauguration and the confirmation of the first names of the Executive, with a fourth vice-president that dilutes the weight of Paul’s Churches.
Operation. The Government approves, but its gestation and future conditions of work have not eliminated the concerns of the citizens about their performance. The absolute majority of the respondents by 40dB. believe that it will be a Cabinet divided (a view that subscribes to a 57 per cent) and short lived (56,4%). Also, more people report that they will have the ability to approve measures (48.3 per cent) than those who argue otherwise (and 39.1%). Voters progressives and conservatives hold conflicting opinions about the running of the Executive: it is overwhelming pessimism among the ultra-right, the PP and Cs, while the voters of the PSOE and of UP that they are optimistic. All in all, there are few voters to socialists who believe that the Government of Sanchez will be brief (37.7 per cent), will be divided (38.2%) and will have little capacity management (29,3%), percentages all of them twice with great clarity the responses on these three assertions offered by those who declare themselves to voters UP.
Government operations
In relation to the functioning of the Executive coalition, which of these statements most closely identify?
Will be divided or cohesive
Divided
57,0
NS/NC
13,3
Cohesive
29,7
Opinion by electorates
PSOE
United we Can
PP
Vox
Citizens
0
25
50
75
100
There will be ability to approve measures
No ability
48,3
NS/NC
12,6
capacity
39,1
Opinion by electorates
PSOE
United we Can
PP
Vox
Citizens
0
25
50
75
100
Be brief or lasting
Short
56,4
NS/NC
16,5%
Durable
27,1%
Opinion by electorates
PSOE
United we Can
PP
Vox
Citizens
0
25
50
75
100
Source: 40dB.
THE COUNTRY
Catalonia and other measures. To get the necessary votes in the endowment, the socialists had to reach a series of agreements of which the two most relevant are the own pact of coalition signed by Sanchez and Churches on the 30th of December and just two sheets little specific, made public on 3 January, in which PSOE and ERC substantiated the commitment that allowed the crucial abstention of the republicans. The survey question for a half-dozen measures of depth included in those agreements and that all receive a majority support. The views most opposed are logged in around the decision more controversial, and that probably will mark the political future of the Government: the creation of a bilateral committee for the resolution of the conflict in Catalonia. While 44.6% of the population sees well or very well to this initiative, 31.7% of the estimated bad or very bad, and a 15.8% qualified of regular.
Evaluation measures
The covenants of endowment made by the PSOE with the other political parties include a variety of measures. How do you value each of them?
Very well / well
Regular
Very bad /bad
The regulation of the right to the dignified death
63
16,1
The tax increase on the highest incomes
62,9
19,1
to Limit the rise in prices of rents
62,9
15,2
Shielding by law, the explicit consent
sexual relations
62,7
16,3
The implementation of a minimum income vital
59,8
16,5
The creation of a bilateral committee for Catalonia
44,6
31,7
0
25
50
75
100
Source: 40dB.
THE COUNTRY
Between the set of citizens, “the regulation of the right to death with dignity/euthanasia” is the project of those covered in the survey with more acceptance: 63% considered it good or very good. To limit the rise in rents (62.9% of support), raise taxes on the highest incomes (other 62,9%) and shielding by law, the explicit consent in sexual relationships (62.7 per cent) also feature a prominent support. And 59.8% see well, or very well implement a minimum income vital.
The voters of the two partners of the coalition are those who to a greater extent support the proposals listed, with supports, more accentuated among the electorate of UP. Despite the fact that the voters of the PSOE endorsed with great clarity all the initiatives, highlights that 19% of them judged the regular and another 14.2 per cent bad or very bad the bilateral committee on Catalonia, showing an electorate less cohesive on this issue (64.6% of acceptance of the dialogue table in front supports above 80% in the other five cases).
The voters of the Popular Party and Vox are those who in greater proportion respond that all of these initiatives are negative, and are especially averse to the table, catalonia (62.1% of rejection in the case popular, was 68.3% in the ultra training). All in all, to some specific policies do not offer an aversion to, so patent: 50.1% of the voters of the PP value shield the explicit consent in the sexual intercourse, and 47% of the Vox well accepted or very well limit the rise in rents. Except for the proposals on Catalonia and the leases, the electorate of Cs evaluates in a positive way with percentages above 53% the policies that question.
The challenges. On the whole, spaniards are not optimistic about the ability of the Cabinet to address some of the major challenges of political, economic, and social before it. Of the nine challenges posed by the survey, the balance only is favorable (+4,8) for the coalition (more positive opinions than negative about their competition, in particular 49,9% vs 45,1%) in the case of your future performance in the face of inequality of the sexes. The option of the Executive to be able to face the conflict Catalan, the greatest political challenge of Spain and one of the keys of the endowment, it is often derided by 61.4% compared to 32.5% of estimates positive (a balance of -28,9). Negative balance clear also offer visions of citizenship on the know-how of the Cabinet regarding the future of the pensions (-30,1), or the arrival of another recession (-31,5). It is not surprising that in the nearly dozen of issues and proposals between the electorates of the PSOE and UP (here in an obvious way) add up to an absolute majority who think that the Executive will be very or quite able to. On the contrary, the voters of the PP, Vox and Citizens believe a majority of the left-wing coalition will not be able to cope with such challenges.
the challenges of The new government
to what extent do you think the next government will be able to meet these challenges?
a Lot of / Quite
NS/NC
Little / Nothing
The inequalities between men and women
49,9
45,1
The desigualdaddes social and poverty
42
54
climate change
38
57.8 per
The improvement of the quality of education
35,3
59,4
unemployment and job insecurity
33,8
61,4
The conflict Catalan
32,5
61,4
The future of pensions
31,7
61,8
The arrival of a na new recession
29,7
61,2
The difficulty of young people to be emancipated
27,4
67
0
25
50
75
100
Source: 40dB.
THE COUNTRY
The tension. The political and institutional deadlock in which it has been plunged Spain in recent times, resulted in the succession of four general elections held in as many years, has left a thick tension that more than half of the respondents (57%) believe that it will increase during this FOURTEENTH Legislature. Less than one out of every ten (9.7%) are optimistic as to argue that it will decrease. Who contributes in greater measure to that Spain uptight? For the whole of the citizens, the responsible most obvious is the Vox. The training that presides over Santiago Abascal is quoted in that sense by 39.9% of the population, more than 16 points above the PP, in the second place. The two right-wing parties exemplified in the debate of investiture that they conceive their work of opposition as a frontal attack, and no quarter to the Cabinet.
A legislature of the tension
do you Think that the tension policy will increase or decrease in this new legislature?
Increase
57,0%
Will
26,7%
Decrease
9,7%
Opinion by electorates
Increase
Will
Decrease
PSOE
United we Can
PP
Vox
Citizens
0
25
50
75
100
For matches
What training, considered to contribute more to the tension?
40
Vox
39,9%
30
PP
23,8%
ERC
21,1%
20
All
14%
EH Bildu
13%
U. we Can
12,7%
JxCat
11,3%
10
Cs
10%
PSOE
9,1%
PNV
2,1%
0
Source: 40dB.
THE COUNTRY
The division in the left-right axis is again reproduced here with clarity. To the right, who crispa of truth is CKD (close to the 47% of voters popular, 45% of the Vox and the 40% of Cs the quote in the first place, compared to 21% of the general population). To the left, it is the responsibility of the ultra training (mentioned by 75% of the electorate in UP and 60% socialist) and the PP (44% and 41%, in the same sense). Those who support United we Can are the least pessimistic (38 per cent think it will increase, clearly below the other groups, and 15% think it will decrease), while those who do, Vox presented the vision more negative: 81% respond that they will increase the tension.
The self-criticism is scarce: only the voters and Citizens of the PSOE reach the two digits to quote their own stands among the leaders of this confrontation (10.9% in the first case, six tenths less than in the of the socialists).
