Brexit seems to be closer than it ever has been.
A new poll from YouGov shows that the british conservative party stands for a massive victory at the upcoming parliamentary elections.
At the last elections in 2017 hit the YouGov simply spot. If the latest poll also hits the bullseye, will the conservatives stand with 359 out of the 650 seats in parliament.
“the Result gives the conservatives a boost. It is completely safe. But Jokerbet it will also create an unrest among them,” says professor Edward Ashbee of Copenhagen Business School.
He explains that such a measurement can be to create too much complacency among the voters. It can ultimately affect the outcome of the elections.
“Boris Johnson is certainly more happy now than he was before. But not many complacent voters who choose to stay at home, to change the election result significantly. But it is a problem, as all the parties suffer from,” says Ashbee.
In the british electoral system there are 650 constituencies, each represented by a ‘seat’ in parliament. Here, only the winner of each constituency, the votes count. The rest of the votes is in principle wasted.
Therefore, it can be fatal, if voters stay at home 12. december.
If the votes are distributed as predicted in the measurement, as YouGov has carried out for the Times, see Edward Ashbee not many other outputs than the Uk finally leave the EU.
“It seems to be the inevitable result, if Boris Johnson gets it the expected majority in parliament.”
He thinks not, moreover, that Boris Johnson could find to go back to the EU to negotiate a better deal on the space, with its large majority in the back.
“the time frame is too narrow, so it is not an option.”
In the latest has an interview with Jeremy Corbyn, who ignores the criticism of anti-semitism flourished on social media and the british media front pages. And can it also have an impact on the election results?
“It may well affect Labour voters. It will probably push someone over to the liberal democrats. But there is probably greater likelihood that the electorate did not show up on election day.”
The 70-year-old Labour leader, Jeremy Corbyn, refused to apologise on behalf of the party, after it has come under criticism for failing to combat anti-semitism internally in the party.
“What I will say is: I am determined that our society should be safe for people of all faiths,” said Corbyn, who came up with variations of the statements subsequently.
Just Jeremy Corbyn seems to get a big vælgerlussing only to ensure 211 seats in the parliament. Where appropriate, will Labour lose 52 seats since the last elections only two years ago.
Political research manager Chris Curtis from YouGov says in the Daily Mail, that the majority of the conservative progress happens at Labour’s expense. Thus, it is their voters who have changed sides – especially in the Middle and the North of england.
the key factor that a seat changes party, is to be found in what he or she has voted in connection with the brexit. Chris Curtis acknowledges, however, that is a long time to the election 12. december.
Therefore, there is also the possibility that Labour can win back votes. But it will not be easy.
