Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen would be elbow to elbow in the first round of the presidential election, with about 28 % of voting intentions, ahead of all other candidates, if the election was held on Sunday, according to an Ifop survey-Fiduciary aired Monday. In the case of a second round Macron-The Pen, the duel would be much more tight than in 2017, with 55 % of voting intentions for the current head of the State, against 45 % for the patroness of the national Gathering.
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In 2017, Emmanuel Macron was collected 24 % of the vote in the first round, against 21.3 to Marine Le Pen. He had won the second round with a 66.1 % against 33.9 per cent. Less than two years of the presidential election, the couple Macron-Le Pen dominates the balance of power and leaves the competition far behind.
If the first round of the election was held on Sunday, the candidate RN takes the lead with 28 % of voting intentions, ahead of Emmanuel Macron (26 %), in the case of a nomination of Xavier Bertrand to the right (12 %). If François Baroin (12 %) represented the right, Emmanuel Macron (28 %) ahead of Marine Le Pen is credited with 27 %, according to the survey for CNews and Sud Radio.
12 % to the right
In both cases, the candidate of the right must not exceed 12 % of voting intentions. Among the other potential candidates, only Jean-Luc Mélenchon (11 % to 12%), crosses the bar of 10 % of voting intentions in the first round. The ecologist Yannick Jadot is credited with 8 %, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan is approximately 5 %, the socialist Olivier Faure 3 % and for Fabien Roussel for the CPF of 1 % to 2 %.
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a Survey conducted on 18 and 19 June after of 992 individuals drawn from a sample of 1 105 people registered on the electoral lists, according to the method of quotas. Margin of error of 1.4 to 3.1 percentage points. Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of results, they do give an indication of the power relations on the day of the survey.
