The last few weeks, 2019, Real Madrid and Barca have left signs of an exchange of papers, stylistic between both ends of the air bridge, which for years were perceived also as extremes in the spectrum of the ideology of football. In the Camp Nou stands out the punch without addressing already to the venerable manual of the development. Meanwhile, the Bernabeu post CR includes deployments corals that undergo PSG and Athletic, and that govern the classical, without finding the old deck with the top.
The whites were left to scratch in their last two League games, although to finish off 17 times on Wednesday against the club and 20 against Athletic on Sunday. On the other side, on Saturday, scored for the catalans Messi, Suarez and Griezmann (besides Vidal) in the 4-1 victory against Alavés. In the first 18 days of the League, the trident of Barça sum 30 goals, only three less than the 33 that accumulate the madridistas.
The divergence in performance of the Madrid and Barcelona can also be seen in a metric that calculates you Choose and that are used in the usual way analysts and sports directors, known as goals expected. This metric, as estimated from thousands of data accumulated over the years, is to calculate the number of goals that I should score in a match a team based on the quality of the chances they generated.
Archery scorer
Each team has an expected number of goals at this stage of the League, calculated in function of the quality of their chances and their shots. Your success is the difference between the goals marked and the goals expected.
League Teams
Barcelona has scored 47 goals and his expectation was of 28,59. Therefore it has a favorable balance of 18,41 goals.
18,41
Barcelona
Getafe
R. Sociedad
Granada
Valencia
Betis
Athletic
won 6.92
3,99
2,77
0,95
0,62
0,17
-0,19
Levante
Eibar
Valladolid
Osasuna
Alavés
Seville
Mallorca
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Leganés
Celtic
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
-0,28
-2,37
-2,48
-3,29
-3,69
-3,77
-4,06
-4,13
-4,26
-4,27
-6,96
-11,76
Real Madrid has scored 33 goals and his expectation was of 37,13. Therefore it has an unfavorable balance of 4,13 goals.
the goals of The Real Madrid
in recent years natural
178
167
156
156
156
152
142
140
130
100
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
First full year without Cristiano Ronaldo
Real Madrid
Font: you Choose and own elaboration.
THE COUNTRY
Archery scorer
Each team has an expected number of goals at this stage of the League, calculated in function of the quality of their chances and their shots. Your success is the difference between the goals marked and the goals expected.
League Teams
Barcelona has scored 47 goals and his expectation was of 28,59. Therefore it has a favorable balance of 18,41 goals.
18,41
Barcelona
Getafe
R. Sociedad
Granada
Valencia
Betis
Athletic
won 6.92
3,99
2,77
0,95
0,62
0,17
-0,19
Levante
Eibar
Valladolid
Osasuna
Alavés
Seville
Mallorca
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Leganés
Celtic
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
-0,28
-2,37
-2,48
-3,29
-3,69
-3,77
-4,06
-4,13
-4,26
-4,27
-6,96
-11,76
Real Madrid has scored 33 goals and his expectation was of 37,13. Therefore it has an unfavorable balance of 4,13 goals.
The goals of Real Madrid in the last few years natural
178
167
156
156
156
152
142
140
130
100
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
First full year without Cristiano Ronaldo
Real Madrid
Font: you Choose and own elaboration.
THE COUNTRY
Archery scorer
Each team has an expected number of goals at this stage of the League, calculated in function of the quality of their chances and their shots. Your success is the difference between the goals marked and the goals expected.
League Teams
Liga Champions
Balance of goals in their respective
championship league.
Barcelona has scored 47 goals and his expectation was of 28,59. Therefore it has a favorable balance of 18,41 goals.
18,41
Barcelona
Getafe
R. Sociedad
Granada
Valencia
Betis
Athletic
18,41
Barcelona
Liverpool
Borussia Dortmund
Tottenham
Leipzig
Lyon
Atalanta
Manchester City
Valencia
won 6.92
returned 10.03
3,99
9,5
2,77
8,91
0,95
5,9
0,62
4,94
0,17
3,71
-0,19
Levante
Eibar
Valladolid
Osasuna
Alava
Seville
Mallorca
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Leganés
Celtic
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
3,04
-0,28
0,95
-2,37
-0,55
Chelsea
Juventus
Bayern Munich
Naples
PSG
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
-2,48
-0,64
-3,29
-1,01
-3,69
-2,82
-3,77
-3,24
-4,06
-4,13
-4,13
-11,76
-4,26
-4,27
Real Madrid has scored 33 goals and his expectation was of 37,13. Therefore it has an unfavorable balance of 4,13 goals.
-6,96
-11,76
The goals of Real Madrid in the last few years natural
178
167
156
156
156
152
142
140
130
100
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
First full year without Cristiano Ronaldo in the Real Madrid
Font: you Choose and own elaboration.
THE COUNTRY
According to these estimates, the 47 goals that lead Valverde in the League is 18 more than the anticipated (29), while 33 of the Zidane entail four less compared to those generated by the computer (37). The teams with better players tend to be above expected, except anomaly, as you have these weeks the Athletic, 12 below what it created, the worst among the 16 in the second round of the Champions league.
MORE INFORMATION
Another Madrid blank The christmas gift for Messi
There is a move of the recent focus of the time counter that runs through Barcelona. The 1st December at the Metropolitan was reached the minute 85 with 0-0 on the scoreboard. Then Messi grabbed the ball on the right touchline, a few yards ahead of the center of the field and activated one of the plays most simple manual for barca: he started to run towards the goal. As they neared the area, the face of Simeone reflected the anguish of the inevitable. The pictures even show how the Cholo misses a kick so reflected, as if wanting to interrupt the 10 in the distance. Messi moved forward, gave in briefly to the ball to Suarez, who was left almost at the same point, and beat Oblak where everyone knew it would. Simeone applauded.
The 50 goals a year Messi, who once topped the polyphony with the barca colonizing the center of the field, now take the computer out of the quagmire in which it has been falling with the retirements of Xavi and Iniesta and the wear and tear of Busquets. In addition, the 13 leading in this League you add up the 10 of Suarez, and the 7 of Griezmann. A deck that already is not a child’s game. Did not work André Gomes, Coutinho or still Arthur. Valverde has had to resort to the almost hopeless Rakitic and dissonance style of Arturo Vidal.
In the otro corner, Benzema holds the pulse with 12 goals, but the following list is Ramos with three, two from the penalty spot. Bale has only marked two and Hazard, one. The trident white hunting half barca.
The known difference is Cristiano Ronaldo, who left the club in the summer of 2018. Florentino Perez had planned to alleviate, in part, that flight with the addition of Eden Hazard after the World cup in Russia, but according to sources familiar with the negotiations, Marina Granovskaia, director-general of Chelsea, determined to keep the belgian a season even at the cost of lowering substantially the price of an operation cooked for months.
Without such incorporation, or any other weight, the Madrid penó especially in the course 2018-2019. Hazard came to the Bernabeu this summer, but was injured against PSG when he began to take flight, after 13 games and a single goal in 984 minutes.
The other solutions for the goal are also pending to germinate. Given the impossibility of hiring footballers such as Harry Kane or Kylian Mbappé, at the offices of the white club insisted on the path of a young promising slope of the last point of cooking. After investing 90 million euros in Vinicius and Rodrygo, spent $ 60 on Luka Jovic —turned 22 years old this Monday, which last year scored 27 goals in 48 matches for Eintracht Frankfurt. The white dome awaits between impatience and intrigue the outcome of a risky bet. Jovic has scored once in 423 minutes spread over 14 meetings, has met twice in the sticks and in three other hits, the VAR will catch on outside of the game. Round the goal. Those who see train ensures that boasts an accuracy remarkable.
While it comes, has started to run something more unexpected, a center of the field that summer left bare of troops. The emergence of Fede Valverde and the resuscitation of Kroos have greased a piece of machinery that helps to protect the rear —only 12 goals conceded— and to work profusely to the attackers, though with little coda. The back of the boat, a cross of dashes.
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