The newly founded Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) came out as the third strongest force in a survey on the so-called Sunday question in Saxony. This emerges from the current Saxony trend from Mitteldeutscher Rundfunk (MDR). When asked “Which party would you vote for if there were a state election in Saxony next Sunday?” 8.0 percent of those surveyed answered BSW. The MDR commissioned the survey from the opinion research institute Infratest dimap.
According to the survey, the BSW could particularly appeal to previous voters of the AfD and the SPD – with 38 and 28 percent respectively.
35 percent chose the AfD in the Sunday question – 7.5 percentage points more than in the last state election in 2019. The AfD is classified as definitely right-wing extremist in Saxony by the state Office for the Protection of the Constitution. The survey sees the CDU as the second strongest force with 30 percent. In the state elections five years ago it was 32.1 percent.
Left would miss entry into parliament
The SPD achieved 7.0 percent in the Saxony trend – 0.7 percentage points less than in the last state election. The Greens also received 7.0 percent, 1.6 percentage points less than in the last election. Only 4.0 percent of those surveyed would currently vote for the left, which would have to worry about entering parliament. In the 2019 state election, the party had 6.4 percentage points more.
Election surveys are generally always subject to uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.
In fact, a new state parliament is to be elected in Saxony on September 1st. Parliamentary elections are also planned in Thuringia and Brandenburg in September.
According to the announcement, around 1,200 randomly selected eligible voters in Saxony were surveyed between January 18th and 23rd, 2024 for the survey by the opinion research institute Infratest dimap on behalf of the MDR.
