On Monday, Boris Johnson surpassed with 59% of the votes of his fellow party members, the internal confidence motion. Despite the fact that Johnson himself and members of his government have called it a “victory” and he promised to continue working “on what matters to the British people.” However, the waters are still very rough in Downing Street and the threats against Johnson are several.

In theory, Johnson is safe from another no-confidence motion from his own party. This is how the statutes of the committee of 1922 collect it. However, the rebel deputies are already pressing to be able to change this norm and celebrate a new confidence motion.

At the end of the month, the Conservative Party will seek to defend the towns of Wakefield in West Yorkshire and Tiverton and Honiton in Devon.

Both under Conservative government, polls now indicate that Labor could win.

Parliament’s privileges committee is due to investigate whether the prime minister misled the House of Commons. This investigation will come out in the fall and several members are already warning that if he did lie, his resignation as party leader and prime minister would be inevitable. If it concludes that he knowingly misled parliament, more parliamentarians could be persuaded of the need for a new leader. It may also bring to light new details about what happened at No. 10 during the lockdown, and that, too, could lead to trouble.

What the Conservative Party now fears is that the rebel deputies will join forces enough to put the Johnson government and its legislative agenda under the ropes. This is how they propose it with the negotiation of the Protocol on Northern Ireland.