The PSOE would revalidate its absolute majority in the Cortes of Castilla-La Mancha in the event that elections are held, with a range of between 18 and 19 deputies -the absolute majority is marked by 17 seats-, while the PP would obtain a slight rise from the 10 parliamentarians that it now has up to a figure of between 11 and 12 and Vox would enter Parliament with between 3 and 4 seats. Cs, for his part, would leave the Convent of San Gil upon losing the 4 deputies that he currently has in the Cortes.
This is reflected in a survey handled by the Castilian-La Mancha socialists and carried out by Idus3 through 800 telephone interviews made between May 16 and 20.
The survey indicates that the estimate of the vote for the PSOE would remain stable from 44.11% that it obtained in the 2019 elections to 44.88% that the survey marks; a rise for the PP, which would rise from 28.55% of the previous elections to 31.86%; a collapse of Cs, going from 11.38% in 2019 to 3.15% today; a drop in Podemos from the 6.9% that it registered in the last elections to 5.03%; and an increase in Vox from 7.02% to 9.54%.
Among those surveyed, in the last elections 34.01% voted for the PSOE, 18.57% for the PP, 3.63% for Cs, 3.9% for United We Can and 5.29% for Vox, while 1.85% voted blank, 0.71% voted null, 13.52% did not vote and 8.11% voted but do not remember which party they voted for.
In contrast, if the regional elections were held tomorrow, 31.96% would vote for the PSOE, 17.86% for the PP, 0.91% for Cs, 2.84% for United We Can and 7.9% to Vox, while 2.32% would vote blank, 0.73% null and 20.37% will vote but have not yet decided on the direction of their vote.
