According to the survey by the Opinio Institute for the broadcaster RAI, the Lega of ex-Interior Minister Matteo Salvini came to 8.5 to 12.5 percent, the Forza Italia (FI) of long-time Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi to 6 to 8 percent. For the first time since the end of the Second World War, a right-wing national alliance could form the government. In the polls, a victory for the right-wing camp had already become apparent.

In the 2018 election, the FDI got just over four percent of the vote. Since then, however, the party has overtaken hardliner Salvini’s Lega as the strongest right-wing force, mainly thanks to the charismatic Meloni. The political legacy on which the FDI was founded in 2012 is the post-fascist party Movimento Sociale Italiano (MSI), which was dissolved in the 1990s.