In Brandenburg, Prime Minister Dietmar Woidke’s SPD is only in third place with 17 percent, according to a survey. The ruling red-black-green coalition would no longer have a majority.
The AfD would be the strongest force in the country with 28 percent and a clear lead if there were state elections next Sunday. The BSW party, founded by the former left-wing politician Sahra Wagenknecht, would get 13 percent straight away, according to the survey published on Wednesday by the opinion research institute Insa on behalf of the “Märkischer Allgemeiner Zeitung” (MAZ), “Märkischer Oderzeitung” (MOZ) and “Lausitzer Rundschau” (LR). The new state parliament in Brandenburg will be elected on September 22nd
SPD with the biggest losses of all parties
According to the survey, the CDU would have 18 percent and the Greens would have 8 percent. The SPD would have to accept the biggest losses of all parties and would lose more than nine percentage points compared to the 2019 state election (2019: 26.2 percent). The AfD (2019: 23.5 percent) would gain 4.5 points, the CDU (2019: 15.6 percent) a good 2 points.
Forming a government would be extremely difficult with such an election result. Theoretically, the CDU and SPD would get 48 percent with the Wagenknecht party. An alliance between the current coalition and the Left, which comes in at six percent in the survey, would also be possible. However, the CDU rules out an alliance with the Left.
According to a Forsa survey from last week, it would have been enough for the current coalition: The SPD got 22 percent, the CDU 16 percent and the Greens 7 percent. According to the RTL/ntv trend barometer, the AfD would have been the strongest party with 32 percent.
For the Insa survey, 1,000 eligible voters were surveyed in Brandenburg from January 8th to 15th. The error tolerance is given as plus/minus 3.1 percentage points.
Election surveys are generally always subject to uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.
