Multiple measurements, which is published at the weekend, suggesting that Boris Johnssons head start shrinking.
The british prime minister, Boris Johnson, conservative party stands to get a majority of 38 seats in the parliamentary elections on Thursday. It shows a poll by The Sunday Times has published.
the Measurement from the Datapraxis predicts that the conservatives will get 344 seats, while the labour party will have 221 seats. It writes the political editor of The Sunday Times on Twitter.
the Measurement is based on the so-called MRP model that can predict the election results with much greater precision than usual to the polls.
Datapraxis-measurement is based on over 500,000 interviews.
Several new public opinion polls suggest, however, that Johnson is losing ground, and that the choice can be very equal between the two major parties.
Four opinion polls published on Saturday, provides Johnson’s party a lead of between eight and 15 percentage points.
According to one or two of these measurements will Johnson is not a sufficient majority to be able to take the Uk out of the EU the 31. January, as he has promised. He can especially have problems if many voters vote on the basis of their attitude towards the brexit, without reference to their belonging to a particular party.
A measurement from Savanta ComRes says that Johnson’s lead over Labour has shrunk to eight percentage points against 10 percentage points in the previous measurement, on Wednesday.
election researcher Chris Hopkins from Savanta ComR says that the last days of the election campaign could be crucial.
Paul Hilder from Datapraxis says that “we have never seen so many voters, who do not know what they will vote”
In the choice is that in the context of the european UNION on the one hand, Johnson’s promises to realize the brexit in January, while on the other hand, is the leader of the Labour party Jeremy Corbyns promises yet another referendum on a new brexitaftale.
opinion Polls up to the election in the Uk in 2017 was horrendously inaccurate, since they largely underestimated the importance of the progress which Labour had, which cost the then prime minister, Theresa May, her majority in the parliament.
opinion Polls also took the error with respect to the outcome of the brexit referendum held in ireland in 2016.
/ritzau/Reuters
