In Switzerland there is a prohibition for events with more than 1000 people. Have you studied the success of the measures in China. The Swiss government is doing enough?
A ban on gatherings of 1000 persons or more is much too high. Such measures run the risk of spreading the disease very quickly. In Harvard we have a ban on gatherings of only 25 people.
they say that you should decide early on hard measures.
We have found that an eruption in the Chinese city of Wuhan, would have brought the US health care system is already to the limit. This is because of the drastic measures came to late. In the city of Guangzhou has responded much faster and was able to prevent because of a Overload. This shows that not only is rigorous, but, above all, rapid measures are effective.
Marc Lipsitch is a renowned epidemiologist at Harvard University. Photo: PD
Why hurry it?
Covid-19 is a slowly progressive disease. This is one of the reasons why it is so dangerous. The hard Affected come the first weeks after infection in the intensive care units. If the authorities react only when the beds are already occupied, then you will be overwhelmed by the descendant of contagious disease cases, which are already infected, like a tidal wave. This is exactly what happened in Italy.
We have currently four confirmed deaths.
Virtually all experts assume that, even in countries where it is now only a few Deaths, such as Switzerland, the increase in deaths soon exponentially. Of course all hope that one has overlooked something, and there is in the end much less of a victim. But we might as well overlook something that makes the situation even worse.
Created: 12.03.2020, 14:35 PM
